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2024-12-14 07:46:45

The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.The Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024. On the afternoon of December 10th, the Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024 to sort out and summarize the latest progress, existing problems and difficulties in the implementation of cleaner production in 2024, study the key tasks in 2025, and promote the completion of the objectives and tasks of the Tenth Five-Year Plan.Alleged of tax evasion, Adidas' German headquarters was raided for two days in a row. On December 11th, local time, criminal prosecutors and customs investigators raided Adidas' German headquarters for the second day in a row, which was an escalation of years of investigation on the sports brand's alleged tax evasion. The amount of tax evasion may exceed 1.1 billion euros. The European Prosecutor's Office (EPPO), headquartered in Luxembourg, said on the 11th that it was conducting a "criminal investigation" against a German sportswear trading enterprise group on the grounds that it was "suspected of tax evasion related to customs duties and import and sales taxes". Adidas said that this long-term investigation is unlikely to have "any significant financial impact".


European Commission President: Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on social media that Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area.Russian Savings Bank: The contribution of artificial intelligence to Russia's GDP may reach 11.2 trillion rubles by 2030. Alexander Bedia Xin, the first vice chairman of the board of directors of Russian Savings Bank, said in his speech at the AI Journey that the application of artificial intelligence in Russia may bring 11.2 trillion rubles to GDP by 2030.Zhu Min, former vice president of IMF: Domestic consumption, manufacturing and green transformation will become the growth drivers of China's economy. Recently, at the China 2024 Annual Meeting and the 22nd Financial Billboard, Zhu Min, former vice president of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that one of the three traditional locomotives of China's economic growth is infrastructure investment; The second is the real estate industry, and the third is export. The transformation of the whole economic structure needs a new growth impetus. Zhu Min said that this new growth driver is, first, based on domestic consumption, and second, insisting on doing a good job in domestic manufacturing and doing high technology; The third is green transformation. We will continue to take the road of sustainable development of green transformation in China and improve our core competitiveness.


The 2.53 billion shares held by Greenland Group have been frozen. According to the legal litigation information of Tianyancha, recently, Guangxi Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd. added a piece of information on the freezing of shares. The executor is Greenland Holding Group Co., Ltd., and the amount of frozen shares is about 2.53 billion RMB. The freezing period is from December 9, 2024 to December 8, 2027. The enforcement court is Wanzhou District People's Court in Chongqing.The State Council agrees in principle with the Master Plan of Fuzhou Land and Space (2021-2035), and the State Council agrees in principle with the Master Plan of Fuzhou Land and Space (2021-2035) approved by the Ministry of Natural Resources. By 2035, the cultivated land in Fuzhou will be no less than 1,421,300 mu, of which the permanent basic farmland protection area will be no less than 1,267,200 mu; The red line area of ecological protection is not less than 5082.05 square kilometers, of which the red line area of marine ecological protection is not less than 2671.73 square kilometers; The border area of urban development is controlled within 1000.63 square kilometers; The use area of construction land per unit GDP decreased by not less than 40%; The retention rate of natural coastline on the mainland is not lower than the tasks assigned by the higher authorities, of which it will be not lower than 40.31% in 2025; The total water consumption shall not exceed the indicators issued by the higher authorities, including 2.80 billion cubic meters in 2025; Except for major national projects, reclamation is completely prohibited; Strictly manage uninhabited islands. Clarify the key prevention and control areas of natural disaster risks, delimit risk control lines such as floods and earthquakes, as well as green space system lines, water body protection lines, historical and cultural protection lines and infrastructure construction control lines, and implement safety guarantee spaces such as strategic mineral resources.IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.

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